Afrika

Here's the situation at the end of turn 5. With little else to do, the Italians have turned turtle with their infantry in Bardia (1 division) and Tobruk (3 divisions).
O'Connor has moved forward with the 7th Armoured to the defensive line around Tobruk. It took two attacks to break the perimeter, and two steps were lost in the process. The infantry divisions closed in on Bardia; the 6th Australian moved around and approached from the northwest while the independent 14th Brigade blocked the south. Even with substantial artillery support, the attack on Bardia only inflicted one step loss on the Italian division defending the fort.
Bardia, in particular, is a tough proposition. It's a fort and a minor city, so defenders are quadrupled in strength. The attacker needs to get some shifts on the CRT to have any chance of success, but even so the historical Australian success seems unlikely if the Italians put a full division in there.
Still, there's a 50% chance that Bardia's port capacity will be zero next turn, in which case the Italians will die from lack of supply. Tobruk is guaranteed at least 1 point of supply and so there'll be more fighting to take it next turn.

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